Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.015337 0.019039 0.023839 0.030700 0.040588 0.054892 7.835776e-02
2025-02-09 0.010948 0.014917 0.020832 0.030878 0.048963 0.083896 1.701944e-01
2025-02-16 0.008796 0.012689 0.019023 0.031124 0.056874 0.120594 3.631218e-01
2025-02-23 0.007404 0.011122 0.017574 0.031069 0.064046 0.166770 8.149551e-01
2025-03-02 0.006245 0.009635 0.015777 0.029458 0.066491 0.205734 1.700774e+00
2025-03-09 0.005473 0.008646 0.014623 0.028740 0.070957 0.265103 4.788195e+00
2025-03-16 0.004991 0.008080 0.014141 0.029386 0.080440 0.383399 3.848538e+01
2025-03-23 0.004558 0.007526 0.013546 0.029516 0.088637 0.541580 4.804014e+07
2025-03-30 0.004089 0.006834 0.012514 0.028089 0.089630 0.656519 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003740 0.006329 0.011802 0.027351 0.093375 0.854551 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003538 0.006088 0.011642 0.028225 0.106470 1.423865 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003445 0.006058 0.011968 0.030813 0.133957 3.558444 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003314 0.005965 0.012211 0.033671 0.174500 16.872689 NaN
2025-05-04 0.003080 0.005622 0.011764 0.033876 0.197886 92.383822 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002880 0.005326 0.011376 0.034155 0.225565 17704.341088 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002695 0.005037 0.010950 0.034092 0.252110 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002480 0.004658 0.010201 0.032265 0.251123 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002318 0.004383 0.009709 0.031452 0.265182 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002213 0.004233 0.009549 0.032184 0.312043 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002104 0.004060 0.009292 0.032330 0.353194 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001966 0.003803 0.008742 0.030716 0.348554 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001857 0.003609 0.008360 0.029882 0.363089 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001796 0.003526 0.008307 0.030870 0.441686 NaN NaN